URGENT! Actionable Now! My Next Highest Conviction Stock Pitch
A stock pitch you don't want to miss!
Hey Continuous Compounders,
This is an email you do not want to skip. My next deep-dive stock pitch is immediately actionable.
Paid subs already knew that I was working on this a few weeks ago.
I am a few days away from completing my deep dive on the name, but just as I was about to finish the name, the stock has what seems to be a great earnings release and is up +5% after hours and roughly +7% by my estimation since I’ve notified paid subs that I’ve initiated the research process.
As I am a 5th draft writer, I will be releasing a preview of what I have written so far: Company Overview, Quick Valuation, and Primary Investment Thesis.
Basically, a TLDR of my Deep Dive.
I am releasing the preview so you guys don’t miss an early entry into the stock, which would affect your risk/reward.
I really don’t want to release my research in 3 days and the stock is already up +20%… so I hope you guys are understanding.
My last highest conviction stock pitch, Oricon (TSE-4800) paid subs made +60-80%.
And as always, I eat what I cook. Oricon was 30% of my portfolio at one point.
Of course, past performance is not indicative of future performance.
I would consider this stock I’m pitching to be in a similar league as Oricon.
Oricon is currently my No.1 stock pitch of all time in terms of the opportunity set, quality of business, and level of conviction. What sucked was the company is getting acquired via MBO…
This next stock pitch, I will say, has the potential to be No. 2 in that it is a very high-conviction stock pitch that ticks all the boxes, so if you are a free sub, now is the perfect time to become a paid sub.
Here is a summer promo so you can capture all the gains you are potentially missing from now having access to this stock pitch.
For a limited time, you can get 50% off the Annual Subscription ($15 USD/month) → LINK
*Promo ending at the end of July.
Here are some sample customer testimonials:
The key role for an analyst is to help the portfolio manager create lift.
Lift is assessed using 3 primary criteria:
hit rate on bets
number of bets
sizing on bets (conviction)
My Substack primarily contributes to factors 1 and 3. I value quality over quantity. I spend a lot of time on names, 100-150 hours for some ideas. The time spent and the quality of the research are what provide me and my readers with conviction.
To use a sports betting analogy, I understand the stock so much better than any of the shareholders that I can better assess the true line of a stock. So when there is a massive mispricing and the downside is limited, you can bet big! Hence, allowing us to size larger than our typical position and contribute to factor 3.
This stock I will be unveiling is a stock you can size large on!
In terms of factor 1: hit rate…
My hit rate is 78% on published ideas. If we remove my 2 recent stock pitches, because you should give ideas time to realize value, my hit rate is 91%.
I’ve only had 1 major loss (CNTY, -50%), which was a stock I pitched to start off my Substack in March of 2023. What a start right… I learned the risks of balance sheets with lots of debt and have since avoided such setups so I won’t be repeating that mistake again. So since April 2023, I haven’t had any major losers, whereas all my winners have generated very meaningful returns, as evidenced above.
I have never removed a published stock pitch on my Substack.
I never set out to have any specific hit rate. Obviously, the higher the better. I am a very process-oriented person, so I am of the mindset that if I do quality work, the results will follow, and in the case of my Substack track record, the results have been almost too good!
My sole goal is to become the best investor I can become. I hope to continue this sun run I am having, and I hope you will join me!
My paid sub has very much paid for itself if you blindly and evenly allocated simply $500 USD to each of my ideas, which is a low bar for many of you.
One of my paid subs made $46,000 USD on the recent Oricon idea, so he can afford my paid sub in perpetuity. I strive for that to be the case for all of you!
Limited Time Offer:
Summer Special Promo! 50% Annual Subscription (15 USD/month) → LINK
Summer Special Promo! 10% Monthly Subscription (27 USD/month) → LINK
*Promo ending at the end of July.
The reason for me to price the promos this way is because I believe in outputting actionable and quality ideas. I’m sorry, but ideas that meet my bar for being published are so low that my annual output is far lower than most Substacks, my price has been adjusted to reflect this output, but as my track record has shown, this has been the right approach.
I severely discount the annual subscription so subscribers are in it for the long run, which is the kind of paid subs I want.
Without further ado, here is my next highest conviction stock pitch: